MLB Odds & Lines

by admin on October 23, 2014

Many North American sports bettors take the summer off but that can be a mistake. Baseball betting offers one of the best opportunities for profit of any sport. One of the great things about baseball betting is the large quantity of betting opportunities. With each team playing 162 games a year there are a mind boggling number of betting propositions every season.

Just considering the basic MLB odds which include sides and total plays for every game, there’s almost 5,000 betting opportunities over the course of the MLB season. That number doesn’t include the many other MLB lines posted by sportsbooks including runline plays, series wagers (which are offered by a growing number of books), futures bets, over/under season win totals, etc.

The overwhelming majority of profitable sports bettors are “grinders”—they focus more on grinding out small profits that add up over the long term rather than trying to make a big killing. There are exceptions, of course, but this is the way that most serious professionals approach sports wagering. Baseball is the best sport for grinding out the small profits day in and day out, week after week. Part of this is the nature of MLB lines—they are based on moneyline odds.

Also important is the enormous amount of wagering opportunities, and the fact that you can turn a profit while winning less than 50% of your bets by betting on the underdogs. If you consider that even the best teams will lose over a third of their games, and also that the worst teams will win more than a third of their games, it’s obvious that there’s going to be a lot opportunities to find value if you are a good baseball handicapper.

For many baseball bettors betting underdogs at ‘plus money’ MLB lines can be a successful strategy. As I said above, the best teams will lose at least 60 games during the season and the worst teams win about 60 games as well. These teams would have to win or lose over 102 games in order to miss that mark, which no team did this season. The rest of the league falls between these two numbers. If you are going to bet on more favorite baseball lines, your breakeven percentage will have to be well over 50% in order to make money.

Another important concept to remember is the relative unimportance of home field advantage. Of all major sports, there may be less intrinsic advantage to playing at home in baseball than in any other yet linesmakers always factor home field advantage into MLB odds. This is particularly true during the regular season. Granted there are teams that do better in certain ballparks than others, but this is more a function of the design of the ballpark and the personnel of the team than any sort of “home field advantage”.

Where to Find the Best Lines and Odds

One of the best sources for sports betting lines is Bodog.eu. This site caters heavily towards Canadian gamblers, such as this NFL betting Canada page. They also have current baseball odds for World Series. Bodog also has a sister site that caters to Americans called Bovada.lv which has identical lines and odds.

This season, the Kansas City Royals have surprised everyone by sweeping their way from the Wild Card game against Oakland, through our beloved Angels, and all the way to the World Series. Will they be able to take out the 2-time World Series Champion San Francisco Giants? Stay tuned to the World Series and find out.

Better Luck Next Year

by admin on August 8, 2013

Well, after I wrote my last post, the Angels promptly got swept by the Mariners to close out the first half of the season and I lost my bet. That will teach me to bet on the team I’m rooting for.

How have the Angels done since? You can take a wild guess by my hiatus. I had a little bit of hope when LA won the first two games against Oakland but the Angels are now mired in a 5-13 slump since. To make things worse, they did this against the two teams that they are chasing. This means the Angels are all but dead in the playoff race.

Even if they rally off the next 11 games in a row, they will still only be at .500 and at least 7 games out of the wild card. The lone bright spots on the team right now are Mike Trout and Howie Kendrick. Maybe now the owner and GM will think twice about splurging on some expensive free agent acquisitions.

The Josh Hamilton experiment has completely failed. Good thing we have him locked up for the long term. Maybe he can pull through this; but for now I’ve taken to calling him this season Adam Dunn.

He’s not the only problem, however. The pitching absolutely stinks outside of C.J. Wilson. Even if Albert was mashing like he was in his prime, the Angels would still be under .500 for the season.

Albert Update

On the other hand, Mr. Pujols hasn’t been a complete bust. He just needs to take his time and get healthy. Of course, he immediately injured his foot early into the 2nd half of the season. It will still be another 3+ weeks before he is out of a walking boot and onto the field.

Albert, I have one suggestion to make for you. Don’t try to come back this season. There isn’t anything left to play for. Concentrate on getting healthy so you can start next season off on the right foot (lol). His power numbers have been down as a direct result of constantly being injured.

Albert has shown flashes of his old self, but things are becoming very concerning. If he cannot keep himself healthy from month to month, than the Angels don’t stand much of a chance against Texas and Oakland in the future either.

I may have a couple of more trivial updates when Albert comes back into the lineup. I would like to see him put together a good September so he can have some momentum going into the offseason. However, the Angels as a team are nothing special to write about anymore.

Non-Dramatic Playoff Races

Outside of a couple of division titles and one wildcard spot, this is going to be a fairly boring August and September. The NL is all but decided already with Atlanta, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Cincinnati and the LA Dodgers close to wrapping things up. The only things left to decide is the seeding for the playoffs, who will win the NL Central, and if Arizona can make a run at the Dodgers.

The American League is only a little more exciting. The Tigers have their division wrapped up; either Boston or Tampa Bay will win the AL East and the other will take a wildcard spot. The only things left to decide is whether Oakland or Texas will win the AL West and which team will win the 2nd wildcard spot (loser between Texas and Oakland, Baltimore, or Cleveland).

One thing that I have noticed is that there is an abundance of bad MLB teams right now. Is there really only 6 teams in the National League that have a winning record?

Betting on Baseball

Because this is my only current interest for the rest of the 2013 MLB season, let’s talk about sports betting again. When it comes to betting on baseball, there are two major things you need to look for: 1) Matchups and 2) Recent Statistical Trends.

Matchups – This is fairly easy to do. Let’s look at tonight’s games to give you an example. The Detroit Tigers are going for a four game sweep of the Cleveland Indians on the road. The pitching matchup is Max Scherzer for Detroit (16-1; 2.85 ERA) vs Zach McAllister (4-6; 3.47 ERA) for the Indians.

The Moneyline is -165 to bet on the Tigers to win outright and +150 to bet on the Indians. This means you would have to put up $165 in order to win $100 if you bet on the Tigers or bet $100 to win $150 if you bet on the Indians to win. The $15 difference is called the Juice.

The spread is -1 1/2 runs if you bet on the Tigers and +1 1/2 runs if you bet on the Indians. This means that the Tigers would have to win by 2 runs or more in order to win this bet or the Indians can win or lose by 1 run for them to win.

Recent Trends – The Tigers currently have an 11 game winning streak. You might think “They are due to lose”. However, take a look at last nights game, a 14-inning win for the Tigers. Scherzer has a ton of quality starts and will probably go 7+ innings. Both teams ran their bullpens dry last night. The Indians have lost 11 of their last 12 to the Tigers. Thank you, end of story – the Tigers will win this game going away.

This is just one example of an easy game to pick. However, 9 out of 10 games do not have these types of statistics that make the winner clear cut. You want to limit yourself to bet on games that you feel 70% sure or more that you will win. In the case above, I would put that at about 80% because this is still baseball and anything can happen no matter how good it looks.

Looking for a great place to bet at? Have fun and try out 888sport-best online betting site


Baseball Betting Systems

by admin

If you are a fan of betting on baseball games, you should take a look at these Baseball Systems to give you help with selecting the best game to place your bets on. With baseball, it is easier to bet against the Run Line (spread) rather than trying to bet the run total or against the Moneyline.

Are you looking for the various NFL betting lines for 2013? With the MLB postseasons starting, this means that baseball has less than a month left to work those systems. After that, you should bet on the NFL games which are the most popular wagers to place in sports. After a few weeks of statistics to pour through, you should be able to get the matchups you want to bet on to win.

Pujols Turning It Around?

July 11, 2013

Albert Pujols has been playing well in the past week. He has hit homeruns in back-to-back games and has cut down on the strikeouts. He is starting to show the signs of turning around his slow start in the first year and a half of playing with the Angels. The last 5 games, Pujols has […]

Read the full article →

Albert Pujols After 1+ Years

June 3, 2013

As with many Angels fans, I have been disappointed in the production with the major acquisitions of the past two years. The team has started off the past two seasons in a slump. This lets us all know how important chemistry actually is to a baseball team. The past couple of losses to the Houston […]

Read the full article →

Sports Betting Odds

March 5, 2013

This is the simplest and most secure stop for sports betting wagering on the web today. We offer you the best guide about sports betting odds comparison site for major sporting events! Joining today will add you a 25% free wagering money bonus to your first deposit. Most of the sports covered will be of […]

Read the full article →

The different types of sports betting options available

January 3, 2013

Sports betting is the term generally used to refer to gambling on all sports outside of horse racing, but this means that there are a lot of different types of sports and types of betting that come under this handle. Perhaps the most popular form of sports betting in Canada is baseball betting, which reflects […]

Read the full article →

New Blogger for Albert Pujols Club

August 20, 2012

You may have noticed how there hasn’t been very many updates over the past few months. The short answer for this is that the original owner is a Cardinals fan and while he tried to continue being a fan and updating this site, he eventually lost interest and stopped blogging. Needless to say, I am […]

Read the full article →

Albert Pujols Predicted To Walk More This Year

January 27, 2012

Let’s face the truth, If the Angels are unable to get protection in front of Albert and behind him its a recipe for disaster.  Pujols has already been walked intentionally 251 times during his career and almost 750 times unintentionally. This is a big challenge for Mike Scioscia who needs to diverse the lineup to […]

Read the full article →

PokerRoom Returns With Great Selection of Sit & Go Tournaments

January 27, 2012

Ex-poker giant PokerRoom decided to once again open its doors to online players from all over the world. The re-opening of the online poker site means that serious online players will have a venue to play their favorite cards games once again. The newly re-launched website includes many different features, including a wide selection of […]

Read the full article →

Albert Pujols Fantasy Baseball Prediction

January 18, 2012

Now that Albert Pujols has moved on to the Angels what does this do for Fantasy baseball leagues ? I don’t think it does much. Considering Matt Kemp should be the first player taken in almost every fantasy baseball draft (including the ones in California). Most veteran players recognize Albert’s move to the Angels  considers […]

Read the full article →

Albert and Deidre Pujols Still Donating To Low Funded Missouri Schools

January 8, 2012

Not only is Albert and Deidre Pujols great class they also have a great heart. Recently this week a small Lutheran school in Missouri received a wonderful gift from the couple. They requested an autographed baseball to go towards a fund raiser for the church and school and to there surprise a check was also […]

Read the full article →

Las Angeles Angels Pujols World Series Odds

January 5, 2012

If you happened to be a betting man and Las Angeles fan you would have noticed several months ago the Angels was a huge underdog to make the playoffs yet win the world series. According to The Greek Sportsbook an online wagering company the Angels was a crazy 30-1 underdog on winning the 2012 world […]

Read the full article →

Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson make Angels Playoff Contenders

January 3, 2012

Bringing in Albert Pujols to California was a great pickup and the mocking of the Angels will be no longer as the owner Arte Moreno has made a strong point that he wants to win rings. I personally am not sold with the pitching staff with the Angels but will understand more of the team […]

Read the full article →

Albert Pujols Signs With the Angels

December 8, 2011

Sad day.  Albert Pujols has signed a 10 year $250,000,000 contract with the Anaheim Angels.  Look at all those zeros!  It was all about the money with Albert.  Sickening as a Cardinals fan.  I don’t care at all that Albert won’t be our first basemen for the next years to come.  This is a good […]

Read the full article →